Liga III Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Tunari vs Farul Constanţa II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
FAC
3 - 1
TUN
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 2
TUN
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 3
GLO
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TUN
5 - 0
RBA
90%
7%
3%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TUN
6 - 1
FLA
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Farul Constanţa II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
FAC
3 - 1
TUN
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
FAC
1 - 2
CSG
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AFU
3 - 0
FAC
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FAC
6 - 1
IMO
84%
10%
5%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
CSG
1 - 1
FAC
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |