Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/16
Global 2-2
Tumbaco AV25 vs La Unión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
78.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tumbaco AV25
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TAV
0 - 0
FCA
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
TAV
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
La Unión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CDL
11 - 1
GST
89%
8%
3%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GST
1 - 2
CDL
7%
14%
79%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 0
RBA
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RBA
3 - 0
CDL
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDL
8 - 1
AEC
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |