Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 2-6
Tulevik Viljandi vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tulevik Viljandi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
TUL
1 - 4
LEV
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
NAP
5 - 1
TUL
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
TUL
4 - 3
TRA
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2000 |
TUL
5 - 0
WAR
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
LOT
1 - 4
TUL
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
NAP
1 - 0
VOJ
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
SUT
2 - 0
NAP
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
NAP
5 - 1
TUL
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
NAP
0 - 1
SGD
7%
16%
77%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
SGD
1 - 0
NAP
96%
3%
1%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |