Tulevik II vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
83.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tulevik II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FLO
3 - 0
TUL
41%
20%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUL
1 - 2
HJP
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
SJL
7 - 0
TUL
85%
9%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TUL
0 - 1
PAR
70%
15%
15%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
JKP
0 - 5
TUL
6%
10%
85%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 2
HJP
75%
14%
11%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
PAI
2 - 7
TJK
67%
16%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
KUR
0 - 9
PAI
9%
15%
76%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PAI
8 - 0
KOS
96%
4%
1%
|
52 | 13 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
PAI
4 - 2
HJP
66%
17%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |