Tulevik II vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tulevik II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TJK
2 - 1
TUL
76%
13%
11%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LAH
4 - 1
TUL
68%
16%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
SIK
4 - 2
TUL
84%
12%
5%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
TUL
4 - 3
JWO
67%
16%
17%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
TUL
4 - 5
RAP
54%
19%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PAI
5 - 0
TAB
81%
12%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
KUR
1 - 6
PAI
8%
18%
74%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
PAI
10 - 4
KER
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
PAI
6 - 1
KJP
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PAI
1 - 0
TKA
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |