Tuggeranong United vs Woden Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
TUG
0 - 4
CAN
16%
20%
65%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
TUG
0 - 0
MON
17%
20%
64%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 0
TUG
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
TUG
2 - 3
COO
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 2
TUG
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Woden Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
WOD
2 - 2
BEL
18%
21%
62%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
COO
5 - 3
WOD
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
WOD
1 - 3
CAN
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BEL
4 - 3
WOD
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
WOD
1 - 1
CAN
16%
22%
62%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | +1 |