Tuggeranong United vs O'Connor Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
77.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-88%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
7º
7º
51
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 4
CAN
7%
13%
80%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 3
GUN
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
2 - 0
WWF
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 0
MON
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
7 - 1
TUG
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 2
OKF
43%
21%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OKF
2 - 2
CAN
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
COO
1 - 4
OKF
61%
18%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
OKF
1 - 0
CAN
51%
20%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
OKF
9 - 0
WWF
86%
9%
4%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |