Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
72.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
7º
7º
35
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
7 - 1
TUG
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
COO
4 - 1
TUG
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 2
TUG
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
OKF
3 - 0
TUG
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GUN
3 - 0
TUG
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
GUN
1 - 2
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MON
4 - 2
CAN
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
OKF
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MON
6 - 0
WWF
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |