Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
COO
0 - 1
TUG
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TUG
3 - 0
GUN
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +3 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
WOD
2 - 0
TUG
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
TUG
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
TUG
0 - 1
BEL
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 0
MON
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MON
4 - 6
CUA
57%
19%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
COE
4 - 1
MON
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MON
0 - 6
COO
6%
12%
82%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GUN
2 - 0
MON
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |