Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
WOD
4 - 0
TUG
83%
11%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TUG
0 - 3
COE
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAN
6 - 1
TUG
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
TUG
0 - 6
MEL
5%
11%
84%
|
19 | 74 | 55 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
IOS
4 - 3
TUG
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 6
COO
12%
15%
73%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAN
5 - 1
MON
87%
9%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
5 - 2
MON
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MON
2 - 4
IOS
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WOD
0 - 1
MON
77%
13%
9%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |