Tuggeranong United vs Gungahlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
74%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
7º
7º
36
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
2 - 0
WWF
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 0
MON
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
7 - 1
TUG
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
COO
4 - 1
TUG
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 2
TUG
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GUN
2 - 0
WWF
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
GUN
1 - 2
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 3
GUN
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
GUN
2 - 4
OKF
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GUN
2 - 1
COO
38%
22%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |