Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
TUG
1 - 3
QCS
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
2 - 3
TUG
67%
17%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
TUG
0 - 3
COO
12%
18%
71%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
TUG
2 - 1
YOO
57%
20%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
TUG
0 - 1
MON
21%
24%
56%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
CAN
4 - 0
COO
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
CAN
4 - 5
GUN
79%
13%
8%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
QCS
0 - 2
CAN
14%
18%
68%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
YOO
1 - 3
CAN
15%
19%
66%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | +1 |