Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
83.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+97%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
TUG
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TUG
5 - 2
CUA
19%
19%
62%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
COE
5 - 2
TUG
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TUG
1 - 4
GUN
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 1
TUG
90%
7%
2%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
CAN
52%
22%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAN
59%
20%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 2
MON
92%
6%
2%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 2
COO
37%
22%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WOD
1 - 2
CAN
12%
17%
71%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |