Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 3
TUG
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
TUG
1 - 2
CAN
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
TUG
1 - 3
WOD
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
TUG
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
COO
3 - 1
TUG
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
CAN
16%
18%
66%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 1
COO
69%
17%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
MON
2 - 5
CAN
16%
19%
65%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 6
CAN
31%
22%
48%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CAN
3 - 4
BEL
53%
21%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |