Tuggen vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
80.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TUG
6 - 0
FCG
79%
13%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KRE
3 - 1
TUG
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 0
TAV
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MEN
2 - 0
TUG
16%
21%
64%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -3 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 2
TUG
7%
11%
83%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 2
ZUR
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 2
ZUR
5%
13%
82%
|
81 | 40 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
STA
0 - 3
ZUR
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |