Tuggen vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
73.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MEN
1 - 2
TUG
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
TUG
4 - 2
STG
79%
14%
8%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GCB
2 - 2
TUG
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
TUG
1 - 1
BAD
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 2
TUG
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ZUR
2 - 2
YOB
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 2
ZUR
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ZUR
3 - 1
NEX
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCL
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SIO
1 - 1
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |