Tuggen vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TUG
3 - 2
SCB
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RAP
0 - 1
TUG
44%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TUG
1 - 0
YFJ
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
TUG
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TUG
3 - 3
FCK
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
1 - 1
SER
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SER
3 - 1
FCZ
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 3
SER
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
BAS
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 3
SER
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |