Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
7º
32
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SVS
4 - 2
TUG
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HON
2 - 3
TUG
15%
21%
65%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUG
3 - 0
FCC
71%
17%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
TUG
50%
23%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TUG
0 - 2
SCH
17%
19%
64%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 2
HON
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 0
MEN
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 0
MEN
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UZW
0 - 0
MEN
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 1
STG
15%
19%
65%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |