Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
YFJ
2 - 1
TUG
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
TUG
2 - 0
ESC
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
TUG
1 - 3
RAP
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
STG
4 - 4
TUG
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
TUG
4 - 1
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
MEN
1 - 1
STG
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 0
MEN
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
MEN
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
MEN
3 - 1
RSZ
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
MEN
2 - 1
BAD
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |