Tuggen vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SCB
3 - 0
TUG
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TUG
5 - 0
FCG
76%
15%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BUO
2 - 2
TUG
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
TUG
2 - 2
RAP
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
YFJ
0 - 4
TUG
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 4
LUZ
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 0
SCB
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 2
LUZ
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 0
BUO
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
YFJ
2 - 0
LUZ
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |