Tuggen vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ZOF
2 - 3
TUG
29%
24%
48%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
TUG
4 - 2
CHI
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
TUG
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
TUG
2 - 2
SCH
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TUG
1 - 3
WIN
25%
21%
55%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LUZ
2 - 1
LUG
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LUZ
3 - 1
GCB
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
LUZ
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ZOF
3 - 4
LUZ
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
LUZ
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |