Tuggen vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FCB
5 - 1
TUG
13%
18%
69%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
TUG
1 - 2
WIN
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
KOS
1 - 5
TUG
24%
22%
54%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
FCT
2 - 2
TUG
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TUG
3 - 1
HON
80%
12%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
CAL
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
KRE
2 - 3
LUG
65%
18%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 1
BAZ
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AMR
4 - 1
LUG
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCW
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |