Tuggen vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
TUG
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
YFJ
3 - 2
TUG
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TUG
2 - 1
ESC
48%
23%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MEN
2 - 0
TUG
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 0
LUZ
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
WIN
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
STG
3 - 2
LUG
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 2
SCH
22%
22%
57%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 0
LUG
48%
22%
29%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 4
GCB
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |