Tuggen vs Herisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
TUG
1 - 3
WIN
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
FCB
2 - 1
TUG
17%
23%
61%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MEN
3 - 3
TUG
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
TUG
1 - 2
FCZ
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
RAP
0 - 0
TUG
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Herisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
KUS
3 - 2
HER
61%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
WIN
4 - 1
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
FCB
4 - 2
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
HER
1 - 1
MEN
23%
24%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
FCZ
1 - 1
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |