Tuggen vs Biaschesi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCM
0 - 3
TUG
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
TUG
2 - 0
RAP
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
TUG
2 - 1
FCG
81%
12%
7%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
HON
0 - 3
TUG
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 4
TUG
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
GCB
2 - 0
WIN
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
GCB
1 - 2
FCM
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
STG
1 - 1
GCB
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 0
GCB
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 1
GCB
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |