Tuggen vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
11º
1º
35
6º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
0 - 6
TUG
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
TUG
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TUG
2 - 1
KOS
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
TUG
40%
24%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 1
TUG
22%
20%
58%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 3
KOS
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UZW
2 - 2
FRE
41%
23%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 6
ESC
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 1
HON
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 1
FRE
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |