Tuggen vs FC Grenchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TUG
3 - 2
LUG
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
TUG
0 - 4
ESC
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 3
TUG
38%
25%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
TUG
2 - 0
SCB
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TUG
2 - 1
WIL
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FCG
0 - 1
MUN
51%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
4 - 1
FCG
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FCG
2 - 2
FCZ
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
FCG
39%
23%
38%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
OLD
0 - 1
FCG
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |