Tuggen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
86.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.4%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.6%
0-5
6%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.9%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BAV
1 - 0
TUG
48%
22%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TUG
3 - 5
SIO
43%
23%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FCK
4 - 2
TUG
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TUG
4 - 3
CHA
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KRI
1 - 1
TUG
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
PSG
3 - 0
BAS
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 0
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |