Tuggen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TUG
2 - 0
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
STA
1 - 2
TUG
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
TUG
3 - 1
YFJ
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FCK
5 - 1
TUG
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TUG
3 - 0
LEM
44%
24%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
STB
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
STB
1 - 1
BAS
30%
24%
45%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 0
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |