Tuen Mun SA vs HK Sapling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
1 - 1
SCA
18%
22%
61%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
1 - 1
PFC
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HON
3 - 3
TMS
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
YOK
1 - 1
TMS
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SHS
1 - 2
TMS
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HON
2 - 3
WTP
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
HON
2 - 3
YOK
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HON
3 - 3
TMS
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HON
1 - 1
SHS
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
HON
2 - 2
PFC
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |