Tuen Mun Reserve vs Sun Pegasus Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
TMR
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
ESA
1 - 2
TMR
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
TMR
0 - 10
DRE
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -3 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
TMR
1 - 6
HVR
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
PEG
0 - 5
RRE
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
SCR
3 - 0
PEG
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
KIT
0 - 0
PEG
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
PEG
3 - 1
YLO
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |