Tudelano vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
AOI
1 - 0
TUD
21%
27%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
TUD
0 - 0
UDM
57%
25%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
TUD
2 - 0
PEÑ
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 0
TUD
22%
26%
52%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
TUD
1 - 2
HUA
64%
22%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALU
0 - 0
AOI
58%
23%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ALU
2 - 2
UDM
36%
28%
35%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
ALU
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ALU
1 - 3
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALU
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |