Tucson vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TUC
1 - 0
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
CVF
3 - 2
TUC
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
TUC
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TUC
0 - 1
GTR
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
NCO
1 - 2
TUC
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OMA
2 - 1
CRW
52%
27%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
OMA
1 - 0
FMA
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RIC
3 - 0
OMA
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OMA
4 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
OMA
2 - 1
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |