Tucson vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 2
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RIC
1 - 0
TUC
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TUC
1 - 2
OMA
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
TUC
4 - 2
NER
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CRW
2 - 2
TUC
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 2
FMA
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
NOT
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TUC
1 - 2
OMA
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
FMA
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
CRW
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |