Tucson vs San Diego Zest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
TUC
5 - 1
BOU
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 5
TUC
26%
24%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
COR
2 - 1
TUC
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 4
TUC
20%
23%
58%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
TUC
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Diego Zest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SDZ
2 - 2
VEN
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
FRE
5 - 2
SDZ
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
SEA
2 - 0
SDZ
12%
17%
72%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
OCB
0 - 2
SDZ
9%
15%
76%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
SDZ
1 - 2
GSF
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |