Tucson vs Fresno Fuego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
2 - 2
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
1 - 4
TUC
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
1 - 2
TUC
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
2 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 2
TUC
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
VEN
4 - 4
FRE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 3
GSF
58%
20%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SDZ
2 - 3
FRE
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 1
FRA
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
SCS
0 - 4
FRE
38%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |