Tucson vs Fresno Fuego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
TUC
9 - 1
OCP
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SEA
1 - 1
TUC
22%
24%
55%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
HOD
2 - 0
TUC
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
OCP
1 - 1
TUC
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 1
TUC
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
BYU
0 - 4
FRE
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
VEN
34%
23%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FRE
4 - 2
GSM
78%
13%
8%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 0
BYU
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 5
FCH
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | -1 |