Tucson vs Fresno Fuego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 0
OCP
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 0
SEA
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
OCP
0 - 1
TUC
19%
23%
59%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
TUC
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 6
VEN
48%
23%
30%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
BYU
1 - 1
FRE
17%
21%
61%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
OGD
0 - 0
FRE
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FOR
7 - 2
FRE
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 3
OBS
71%
16%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |