Tucson vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 1
TUC
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARI
2 - 1
TUC
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NMU
3 - 1
TUC
51%
21%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
EPL
5 - 0
TUC
47%
22%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUC
2 - 0
ORL
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
FMA
4 - 0
MIB
39%
23%
38%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SPK
0 - 1
FMA
26%
21%
54%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
FMA
43%
23%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
CFS
2 - 0
FMA
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FMA
2 - 1
NER
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |