Tucson vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
TUC
2 - 3
GTR
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TUC
0 - 0
RIC
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
GTR
4 - 0
TUC
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TUC
0 - 5
LIG
29%
26%
44%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TUC
1 - 0
CRW
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 0
NOT
28%
28%
45%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RIC
0 - 1
FMA
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 1
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
FMA
0 - 1
GTR
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 0
RIC
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |