Tucson vs Golden State Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2016 |
OCB
1 - 3
TUC
9%
17%
74%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GSF
2 - 5
TUC
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 1
SEA
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
TUC
0 - 5
ARI
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 2
TUC
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Golden State Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
GSF
2 - 5
TUC
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
GSF
1 - 2
VEN
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
GSF
3 - 1
SEA
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GSF
1 - 1
BYU
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |