Tucson vs Colorado Rapids II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ALB
4 - 2
TUC
8%
13%
79%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
TUC
1 - 0
CPS
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
TUC
1 - 2
OCS
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
TUC
3 - 0
OCS
90%
7%
3%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
OCS
1 - 2
TUC
7%
11%
82%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Colorado Rapids II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
COR
4 - 1
OCS
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
OCS
2 - 3
COR
10%
16%
74%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
COR
5 - 1
ALB
86%
9%
4%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
COR
3 - 2
CPS
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CPS
1 - 2
COR
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |