Tucson vs Colorado Rapids II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
1 - 4
TUC
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
1 - 2
TUC
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
2 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 2
TUC
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
TUC
3 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Colorado Rapids II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
COR
5 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
COR
3 - 1
BYU
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
1 - 1
COR
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
3 - 3
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
COR
1 - 3
BOU
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |