Tucson vs Boulder II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 5
TUC
26%
24%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
COR
2 - 1
TUC
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 4
TUC
20%
23%
58%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
TUC
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SDZ
0 - 2
TUC
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Boulder II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 5
TUC
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 0
COR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |