Tucanes FC vs SC Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
URE
1 - 2
TUC
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TUC
1 - 0
POL
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
MET
0 - 1
TUC
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TUC
2 - 3
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 1
ARR
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SCG
1 - 0
MIN
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SCG
0 - 1
URE
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
POL
1 - 2
SCG
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SCG
2 - 2
MET
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 1
SCG
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |