Tucanes FC vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
MET
0 - 1
TUC
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TUC
2 - 3
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 1
ARR
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
TUC
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 2
ANG
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
POL
1 - 2
SCG
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
URE
2 - 0
POL
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
CDS
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
CAR
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |