Tucanes FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 2
TUC
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
YAR
2 - 3
TUC
66%
22%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TUC
0 - 1
ANZ
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TRU
2 - 0
TUC
70%
20%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TUC
5 - 1
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
ARA
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TRU
2 - 0
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MON
3 - 2
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 0
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |