Tucanes FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 0
TUC
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TUC
2 - 0
YAR
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TAC
2 - 1
TUC
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TUC
1 - 1
ZAM
16%
26%
58%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ANZ
3 - 2
TUC
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 0
TRU
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
MIR
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
YAR
1 - 0
LAR
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 0
TAC
61%
22%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
ZAM
2 - 0
LAR
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |