Tucanes FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
54%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ZUL
3 - 2
TUC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TUC
1 - 2
TAC
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
TUC
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TUC
5 - 2
ARR
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 1
TUC
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 1
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
LAR
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LAR
4 - 0
ZAM
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 2
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
POR
0 - 4
LAR
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |