Tucanes FC vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
YAR
1 - 0
TUC
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 3
UCV
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
TUC
2 - 0
CFC
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
APC
0 - 0
TUC
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
TUC
2 - 2
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 1
APC
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
ARR
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 3
YAR
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
4 - 1
ARR
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 2
ATL
22%
26%
52%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |